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عنوان فارسی مقاله:

پیش بینی تقاضای حمل و نقل هوایی از طریق روش های هولت وینترز باگینگ

عنوان انگلیسی مقاله:

Air transportation demand forecast through Bagging Holt Winters methods

سال انتشار : 2017

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بخشی از مقاله انگلیسی:

2. Literature review

 Forecasting models may be classified according to different factors. In order to ground the problem presented in this paper, the literature review section focus on two classification factors: time horizon and method approach. Additionally, forecast can be performed for different elements and scales: for single routes, that is, between a given pair of origin and destination airports; for a single airport accounting for all movements based on the facility, or for a group of airports aggregated at a regional, national or international scale. The review identifies individually which element or scale was used by each author. Forecast may be dealt with at different time-horizons according to the type of planning problem. Long and medium-term forecasts provide key inputs for airport infrastructure planning (terminal capacity, runway utilization, and expansion decisions), air navigation services, fleet ordering and design. Singh et al. (2016) forecasted long-term demand in India in order to evaluate the investment required to expand the capacity of the Indian airports for the following 20 years. Suryani et al. (2010) focused on longterm forecast models that can be used for infrastructure planning, namely: runway and terminal capacity expansion.

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کلمات کلیدی:

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